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梁启超对清王朝最后统治危机的观察与评论
引用本文:耿云志.梁启超对清王朝最后统治危机的观察与评论[J].徐州师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2012,38(1):60-67.
作者姓名:耿云志
作者单位:中国社会科学院近代史研究所,北京,100006
摘    要:梁启超是清末立宪运动的灵魂人物。他亲历了当时绅商及各阶层人民从热切期望通过立宪推动国家、社会进步和发展,到对清政府完全绝望,不得不改而赞成推翻帝制,拥护共和的历史过程。他在1910年国会请愿运动最高涨的一年里,屡次说到,清政府如不真正进行改革,不出两年必亡。他之所以能做出如此准确的预言,是因为他切实感受到人民离心力几乎到了极度,民变层见叠出,清政府成了制造革命党的大工厂,日日为自己准备掘墓人。梁启超细心研究了社会经济、财政状况,认识到已陷入不可逆转的深刻危机之中。在如此情况下,清朝的王公贵族、大小官吏却腐败益甚,都只顾为儿孙后代聚敛财富,而不顾国家危亡。根据这些方面的深入观察与研究,梁启超才敢于预言清政府两年之内必亡,并终于成为事实。辛亥革命与清王朝的最终垮台,固然是因为革命党的起义给它以严重打击,以及立宪派的活动从内部动摇了它的统治基础,同时也是清政府自己的愚顽和腐败有以致之。

关 键 词:梁启超  清政府  统治危机

Liang Qichao’s Observation and Comment on the Last Ruling Crisis of the Qing Dynasty
GENG Yun-zhi.Liang Qichao’s Observation and Comment on the Last Ruling Crisis of the Qing Dynasty[J].Journal of Xuzhou Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition),2012,38(1):60-67.
Authors:GENG Yun-zhi
Institution:GENG Yun-zhi(Modern History Research Department,Chinese Social Science Institute,Beijing 100000,China)
Abstract:Liang Qichao was the key person of the Constitution Movement in the late Qing.He experienced the process from people’s longing for constitution to promote the development of the country and social progress to their complete despair of the Qing government and their support for overthrowing the emperor system in favor of the republic.In 1910,he said several times that Qing government would be die within two years if it did not carry out real reform.How did he make such an exact predict was he really felt that people’s centrifugal force went to extremes,the anti-government actions appeared everywhere and Qing government became a factory producing revolutionary parties and tomb diggers for itself.The revolution of 1911 and Qing Dynasty’s final crash accounted for the heavy blow of the revolutionary party’s rebellion;the Constitution Movement shook its ruling basis from the inner and Qing government’s foolish stubbornness and corruption.
Keywords:Liang Qichao  Qing government  ruling crisis
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