| 地区电力长期负荷预测方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 施伟,刘建辉.地区电力长期负荷预测方法研究[J].中国科技信息,2006(23):23-24. |
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| 作者姓名： | 施伟 刘建辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 辽宁工程技术大学工商管理学院,123000 |
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| 摘 要： | 负荷预测对电力系统规划和运行极其重要,本文论述了电力负荷预测与分类、负荷预测的基本过程。同时本文采用外推预测技术、单耗法和新兴交叉学科人工免疫预测法对阜新地区电力负荷进行长期的预测,并对实际预测结果进行了分析、比较。得出结论:这三种方法都适合于对地区电力负荷进行长期的预测,取三种方法预测的中间值可以得到相对精确的预测结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 电网负荷 预测 方法 地区电网 |
Local electric power long-term load forecast method research |
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| SHI Wei,LIU Jian-hui.Local electric power long-term load forecast method research[J].CHINA SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY INFORMATION,2006(23):23-24. |
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| Authors: | SHI Wei LIU Jian-hui |
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| Institution: | College of Industrial and Commercial management,Liaoning Technical University,Fuxin 123000 |
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| Abstract: | The load forecast is extremely important to the electrical power system plan and the movement, this article elaborated the power load to forecast and to classify, the load forecast unit process. Simultaneously this article uses the extrapolation forecast technology, Shan Haofa and the emerging interdisciplinary studies. artificial immunization pre- measurement to carry on the long-term forecast to the Fuxin area power load. And has carried on the analysis, the comparison to the actual forecast result. Draws the conclusion: These three methods all suit to carry on the long- term forecast to the area power load, takes the intermediate quantity which three methods forecast to be allowed to obtain the relatively precise forecast result. |
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| Keywords: | Electrical network load Forecast Method Local electrical network |
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