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基于ARMA模型的河北省城乡居民信息消费差距分析
引用本文:吕雅辉,赵耀.基于ARMA模型的河北省城乡居民信息消费差距分析[J].保定学院学报,2015(2):32-36.
作者姓名:吕雅辉  赵耀
作者单位:1. 河北农业大学 商学院,河北 保定,071001;2. 河北农业大学 经济贸易学院,河北 保定,071001
摘    要:利用ARMA模型分析河北省城乡居民信息消费差距。研究结果表明,城乡居民信息消费倾向差距有先增后减的趋势;信息消费系数持续稳定增加,但差距依然存在;信息消费差距逐渐增大,2015年有缩小的趋势。因此应该更加关注农村居民信息消费,进一步提高农村居民收入、加强农村信息基础设施建设、提高农村居民文化水平和消费意识。

关 键 词:河北省  城乡居民  信息消费  消费差距  ARMA模型

Information Consumption Gap Analysis Between Urban and Rural Residents of Hebei Province Based on ARMA Model
Lv Yahui,Zhao Yao.Information Consumption Gap Analysis Between Urban and Rural Residents of Hebei Province Based on ARMA Model[J].Journal of Baoding UNIVERSITY,2015(2):32-36.
Authors:Lv Yahui  Zhao Yao
Abstract:This paper uses the ARMA model to analyze the information consumption gap between urban and rural residents of Hebei province. The research results show that, the urban and rural residents ’ information consumption gap increased firstly, then decreased;information consumption coefficient of urban and rural residents continued to increase stability, but the gap still exists; the gap between urban and rural residents’ information consumption increases gradually, in 2015 will has a narrowing trend. Therefore, more attention should be paid to the information consumption of rural residents, government should improve the income of rural residents and strengthen the construction of rural information infrastructure to improve the cultural level of rural residents and consumption consciousness.
Keywords:Hebei province  urban and rural residents  information consumption  consumption gap  ARMA model
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