| 训练健身器材制造业与体育用品制造业的互动关系:基于我国东部10个地区的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈颇.训练健身器材制造业与体育用品制造业的互动关系:基于我国东部10个地区的实证分析[J].首都体育学院学报,2012,24(3):221-225. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈颇 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆师范大学体育学院,重庆,401331 |
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| 摘 要： | 为客观地把握我国训练健身器材制造业和体育用品制造业的互动关系,在总结前人已有研究成果的基础上,提出以3种假说即"需求遵从假说""供给主导假说""互动融合假说"为理论基础,采用计量经济学中的单位根检验、协整性检验及Granger因果关系检验等研究方法,对我国东部10个地区体育用品制造业和训练健身器材制造业的时间序列进行实证分析。结果表明:福建、山东及广东体育用品制造业是训练健身器材制造业的Granger原因,即满足"需求遵从假说",而北京、河北及浙江训练健身器材制造业则是体育用品制造业的Granger原因,即遵从"供给主导假说"。另外,东部10个地区体育用品制造业与训练健身器材制造业的"互动融合假说"均不成立。从一定程度上说明要实现我国东部地区体育产业的可持续协调发展,应积极采取措施构建体育用品制造业和训练健身器材制造业的互动融合关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 体育产业 体育用品 训练健身器材 制造业 Granger因果关系检验 |
The Interaction Relationship between Training Fitness Equipment and Sporting Goods Manufacturing Industry:The Evidence of 10 Regions in Eastern China |
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| CHEN Po.The Interaction Relationship between Training Fitness Equipment and Sporting Goods Manufacturing Industry:The Evidence of 10 Regions in Eastern China[J].Journal of Capital College of Physical Education,2012,24(3):221-225. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Po |
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| Institution: | CHEN Po School of Physical Education,Chongqing Normal University,Chongqing 401331,China. |
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| Abstract: | In order to grasp the objective interaction relationship between training fitness equipment and sporting goods manufacturing industry,based on the previous studies,this paper offered the three hypotheses,demand compliance hypothesis,supply-led hypothesis,interactive convergence hypothesis as its theoretical basis,use the unit root test,co-integration test and Granger causality test,empirical analysis was made on the time series of 10 regions in eastern China.The result showed that the sporting goods manufacturing industry was the Granger causes of training fitness equipment in Fujian,Shandong and Guangdong,which met the demand compliance hypothesis,the training fitness equipment was the Granger causes of sporting goods manufacturing industry in Beijing,Hebei and Zhejiang,which complied with supply-led hypothesis.In addition,the interactive convergence hypothesis between sporting goods manufacturing industry and training fitness equipment was not existence within 10 regions in eastern China.To some extent,for achieving sustainable development of the sports industry in China,we should take active measures to build the interactive integration relationship between sporting goods manufacturing industry and training fitness equipment. |
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| Keywords: | sporting goods training fitness equipment manufacturing industry Granger causality test |
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