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夏季奥运会项目设置演变历程回顾与趋势预测
引用本文:黄小波.夏季奥运会项目设置演变历程回顾与趋势预测[J].吉林体育学院学报,2013(4):59-62.
作者姓名:黄小波
作者单位:南京邮电大学通达学院,江苏南京210000
摘    要:竞赛项目是实现奥运会赛事价值的核心要素和重要载体,分析奥运会竞赛项目设置的演变历程和基本特征对于深刻了解和预测奥运会的过去和未来都具有极其重要的意义与价值。研究提出未来奥运会项目设置将体现出:大小项总数基本保持稳定;大项的变化将主要来自边缘项目和备选项目间的更迭;小项的变化将更加体现男女均衡;经济效益好、观赏性强的项目将逐步取代不合时宜的项目;田径和水上项目等奥运会传统项目仍将占据重要地位,但其分项或小项将略有减少。

关 键 词:奥运会  项目设置  演变历程  趋势预测

The Summer Olympic Games Set Evolution Review and Trend Prediction Research
Huang Xiaobo.The Summer Olympic Games Set Evolution Review and Trend Prediction Research[J].Journal of Jilin Institute of Physical Education,2013(4):59-62.
Authors:Huang Xiaobo
Institution:Huang Xiaobo(Tongda college,Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Nanjing,Jiangsu,210000,China)
Abstract:Race is a key element to realize the value of the Olympic events and important carrier,analysis project Settings evolution history and basic features of the Olympic Games competition to understand and predict the past and the future of the Olympic Games has extremely important significance and value.To study and put forward the future Olympic Games project Settings will reflect: total size item basic remained stable;Big changes will change between main and alternative projects from edge;The change of the events will be reflected more balanced between men and women;Good economic benefit and entertaining programs will gradually replace the inappropriate projects;Track and field and traditional water projects such as the Olympic Games project will occupy the important position,but its disciplines or events will be reduced slightly.
Keywords:The Olympic Games  The project Settings  The evolution process  trend prediction
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