| 基于船舶所有人演化博弈的船舶联营池经营策略 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 尚书彤,吕靖.基于船舶所有人演化博弈的船舶联营池经营策略[J].上海海事大学学报,2019,40(3):74-79. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 尚书彤 吕靖 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 大连海事大学交通运输工程学院 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为实现船舶联营池利益最大化,以船舶联营池依据船舶评分进行收益分配为基础,根据演化博弈理论建立联营池中不同船舶所有人之间的演化博弈模型,分别推导出船舶所有人在不同状态下的复制动态方程。通过对复制动态方程参数的讨论,确立不同的博弈情况;分别对不同的博弈情况下的演化稳定策略进行探讨,得出不同参数情境下的演化结论;以此为基础对船舶联营池的经营策略提出建议。结合HEIDMAR公司Sigma Pool的实际数据进行算例分析,结果与情境分析结论的一致性证明了本文模型有效。本文结论可作为理论基础给联营池管理人提供经营策略的制定依据。
|
| 关 键 词： | 船舶联营池 演化博弈 船舶得分 演化稳定策略 经营策略 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018/8/2 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018/12/11 0:00:00 |
Shipping pool management strategy based on evolutionary game of shipowners |
| |
| Shutong Shang and Lv Jing.Shipping pool management strategy based on evolutionary game of shipowners[J].Journal of Shanghai Maritime University,2019,40(3):74-79. |
| |
| Authors: | Shutong Shang and Lv Jing |
| |
| Institution: | Dalian Maritime University |
| |
| Abstract: | In order to maximize the benefit of a shipping pool, an evolutionary game model among different shipowners in the pool is established based on the evolutionary game theory, where the benefit is distributed according to ship rating. The replicated dynamic equations of the shipowners in different states are derived. Through the discussion of the parameters of the replicated dynamic equations, different game conditions are established; the evolutionarily stable strategies under different game conditions are discussed respectively, and the evolution conclusions under the condition of different parameters are obtained. On this basis, some suggestions on the management strategy of the shipping pool are put forward. The case analysis using data of Sigma Pool in HEIDMAR Company shows that, the consistency between the result and the scenario analysis conclusion proves that the model is valid. The conclusion can be used as a theoretical basis for pool managers to formulate the management strategy. |
| |
| Keywords: | shipping pool evolutionary game ship rating evolutionarily stable strategy management strategy |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《上海海事大学学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《上海海事大学学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
