| 基于自然控制论的核化事故应急优化控制理论框架 |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄顺祥 曾庆存 胡非 王自发 刘峰 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院大气物理研究所, 北京 100029;
2. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049;
3. 防化学院, 北京 102205 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(41375154)和财政部\科技部公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201106033)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 核化事故应急是一个典型的自然规律与人类活动相互作用的问题.以自然环境的合理或最优利用和调控为最终目标的自然控制论是解决核化事故应急优化控制问题的有效方法.核化事故应急优化控制是自然控制论新的发展方向和应用领域.本文给出核化事故应急优化控制问题一般提法的理论方程,建立核化事故应急优化控制数学模型,提出应急行动代价和事故损失函数的具体表达式,将应急行动代价和事故损失定量化,并给出事故源控制、警戒、疏散、防护、洗消、人员伤亡、医学救治等计算方法.本文为核化事故最优应急控制方案提供了计算理论框架.
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| 关 键 词： | 自然控制论 核化事故 大气环境 优化控制 应急 |
| 收稿时间： | 2014-04-14 |
| 修稿时间： | 2014-05-09 |
Optimal control theory framework for nuclear and chemical disaster emergency based on the natural cybernetics |
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| Authors: | HUANG Shunxiang ZENG Qingcun HU Fei WANG Zifa LIU Feng |
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| Institution: | 1. Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100029, China;
2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
3. Institute of Chemical Defense, Beijing 102205, China |
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| Abstract: | Nuclear and chemical disaster emergency is a typical problem associated with interactions between the nature and human activities. Natural cybernetics, aiming at optimal and reasonable use of natural resources, is an effective method to resolve this problem. We develop a mathematical model by providing equations for optimal control of the nuclear and chemical accident emergency with the specific expressions of control costs and disaster losses. It also gives the calculation method for the control costs related to accident source control, security alert, evacuation, protection, decontamination, casualties, medical treatment, and so on. This model provides a suitable theoretical basis for solving the nuclear and chemical disaster emergency problem. |
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| Keywords: | natural cybernetics nuclear and chemical disaster atmospheric environment optimal control emergency |
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