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基于GAMLSS模型的我国青少年体质健康评价指标百分位数分布曲线及参考值
引用本文:水祎舟,游旭群,万炳军.基于GAMLSS模型的我国青少年体质健康评价指标百分位数分布曲线及参考值[J].武汉体育学院学报,2021,55(11):77.
作者姓名:水祎舟  游旭群  万炳军
作者单位:1. 陕西师范大学 体育学院, 陕西 西安 710119;2. 陕西师范大学 青少年体育研究中心, 陕西 西安 710119;3. 陕西师范大学 心理学院, 陕西 西安 710119
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究项目(17YJC890025);国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BTY028);陕西师范大学博士后研究项目(265966)。
摘    要:目的:建立我国10~17岁青少年体质健康评价指标百分位数分布曲线及参考值。方法:通过文献资料、专家访谈、问卷调查、测试法对我国16个省份32个城市的288所中小学5 048名儿童青少年的各项体质健康指标进行数据采集,其中男性2 779名,女性2 269名。测试内容依次由反映身体形态、心肺耐力、肌肉力量、速度、灵敏、柔韧性的6个一级指标和9个二级指标构成,运用基于位置、尺度、形状的广义可加模型(GAMLSS),在模型拟合中考虑年龄、性别等因素,建立青少年体质健康指标的参考百分位数曲线。结果表明,我国10~17岁青少年体质健康评价指标总体随年龄的增长显著提升,各相同年龄段男生的体质健康指标普遍优于女生,各项测试指标的变化呈现出一定程度的波动性特征且与年龄显著相关(P<0.05)。研究尝试构建了我国10~17岁青少年体质健康指标P5-P95百分位分布曲线与参考值。结论:研究所构建的百分位数曲线与参考值对于我国中小学生体质健康评价标准与常规模型参照体系的修订、体质健康数据库建立、学生身体素质的长期系统监测以及人才的选拔、培养与分流具有一定的借鉴价值。

关 键 词:运动人体测量学  GAMLSS  体质健康  评价指标  百分位数曲线  参考值  
收稿时间:2021-08-10

Percentile Distribution Curve and Reference Value of Physical Health Evaluation Index of Chinese Adolescents Based on GAMLSS Model
SHUI Yizhou,YOU Xuqun,WAN Bingjun.Percentile Distribution Curve and Reference Value of Physical Health Evaluation Index of Chinese Adolescents Based on GAMLSS Model[J].Journal of Wuhan Institute of Physical Education,2021,55(11):77.
Authors:SHUI Yizhou  YOU Xuqun  WAN Bingjun
Institution:1. Dept. of P. E., Shanxi Normal Univ., Xi'an 710119, China;2. Research Center of Youth Sports, Shanxi Normal Univ., Xi'an 710119, China;3. Dept. of Psychology, Shanxi Normal Univ., Xi'an 710119, China
Abstract:The paper aimed to establish the percentile distribution curve and reference value of the physical health index for children and adolescents aged 10~17 in China. Through literature review, expert interviews, questionnaire and testing, 5048 adolescent samples(2779 boys and 2269 girls), aged between 10 and 17 years in 288 primary and secondary schools in 32 cities in 16 provinces were assessed. The test consisted of 6 first-level indicators and 9 secondary indicators reflecting body shape, cardiorespiratory fitness, muscle strength, speed, agility, and flexibility. The generalized additive model for location, scale, and shape(GAMLSS) was used to establish the reference percentile curve of the physical health indicators of children and adolescents, and included factors such as age and gender in the model fitting. The results showed that the overall physical health was better in boys than in girls and the changes of all test indicators revealed a certain degree of fluctuation. Physical performance was significantly associated with age(P<0.05). Sex and age-specific physical fitness normative values for adolescents aged 10~17 in China expressed as percentiles from the 5th to the 95th were provided. The data proved to be referential in terms of the revision of the physical fitness evaluation standards and conventional mode, the long-term monitoring of physical health in primary and secondary school students, the establishment of school database and the selection and diversion of talents.
Keywords:reference value movement anthropometry  GAMLSS  physical health  evaluation index  percentile curve  reference  
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