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CBA、NBA竞争实力均衡与现场观众关系的经验研究
引用本文:郑芳,莫巍峰,汪凌.CBA、NBA竞争实力均衡与现场观众关系的经验研究[J].体育科学,2011,31(4).
作者姓名:郑芳  莫巍峰  汪凌
作者单位:1. 浙江大学教育学院体育学系,浙江杭州,310028
2. 绍兴文理学院上虞分院,浙江绍兴,312300
3. 浙江工商大学杭州商学院,浙江杭州,310035
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目
摘    要:以CBA和NBA为案例,采集横截面、时间序列、面板3个层面的经验数据,基于HHI方法度量职业体育竞争实力均衡,依托计量经济学分析方法,验证联盟制度安排准则与现场观众参与之间的关联关系.研究结果显示,俱乐部所在城市规模、城市居民的收入水平与观众人数呈现显著的正向关联关系,从经验视角验证职业体育联盟在设定俱乐部准入制度时为何总是青睐大型城市的缘由;俱乐部获胜百分比的估计系数为正,与观众人数呈现显著的正向关联,HHI的估计系数为负,与观众人数呈现显著的负向关联关系,均验证比赛结果不确定性是吸引观众持续关注比赛的基本假设.尽管CBA和NBA的经验结果呈现一定的差异,但在验证基本假设方面呈现一致性.因此,以竞争实力均衡为CBA制度设计准则,是CBA吸引观众关注、健康良性运营的关键.

关 键 词:CBA  NBA  竞争实力均衡  现场观众

Analysis 0n Competitive Balance and Fan Attendance 0f CBA and NBA
ZHENG Fang,MO Wei-feng,WANG Ling.Analysis 0n Competitive Balance and Fan Attendance 0f CBA and NBA[J].China Sport Science,2011,31(4).
Authors:ZHENG Fang  MO Wei-feng  WANG Ling
Institution:ZHENG Fang1,MO Wei-feng2,WANG Ling3 1.Department of Physical Education,School of Education,Hangzhou 310028,China,2.Shangyu Branch,Shaoxing College of Arts and Sciences,Shaoxing 312300,3.Zhejiang Gongshang University Hangzhou Institute Commerce,Hangzhou 310035,China.
Abstract:Based on the cross-section data,time series data and panel data analysis,the relationship between competitive balance and fan attendance of CBA and NBA have been examined.The article adopted HHI as a measurement of competitive balance and make a research on the econometric method.The research result shows that the population and per capita income were generally consistent with expectation and explain why the league is always favored large cities in setting the barriers to entry for professional sports club....
Keywords:CBA  NBA  competitive balance  fan attendance  
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