| 基于系统动力学的新兴技术产业化策略研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 任海英,程善宝,黄鲁成.基于系统动力学的新兴技术产业化策略研究[J].科研管理,2013,34(5):21-31. |
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| 作者姓名： | 任海英 程善宝 黄鲁成 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京工业大学 经济与管理学院, 北京 100124 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重点项目"奥运科技产业化及基于奥运市场规则的国际化发展研究"(70639002),2006.6-2010.7; 国家社会科学基金重大项目"新兴技术未来分析理论方法及产业创新研究"(11&ZD140),2011.10-2015.12。 |
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| 摘 要： | 新兴技术产业化对推动社会经济发展具有重要作用,本文在两个维度上将新兴技术产业分为四类,并在系统的视角下对以混合动力汽车为代表的第IV类新兴技术产业化进行了研究。通过建立和分析混合动力汽车产业化的系统动力学模型,提出了中国混合动力汽车产业化发展的策略体系。本文的研究表明,通过系统建模对新兴技术产业化进行研究,是进行该领域研究的一种可行思路和方式。
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| 关 键 词： | 系统动力学 新兴技术 产业化 混合动力汽车 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011-03-07 |
The strategy of emerging technology industrialization based on system dynamics |
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| Ren Haiying,Cheng Shanbao,Huang Lucheng.The strategy of emerging technology industrialization based on system dynamics[J].Science Research Management,2013,34(5):21-31. |
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| Authors: | Ren Haiying Cheng Shanbao Huang Lucheng |
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| Institution: | School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China |
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| Abstract: | The industrialization of emerging technologies plays an important role in the promotion of social and economic development. Emerging technology industries are classified into two dimensions, four categories; and the Hybrid Electric Vehicle (HEV) industry which represents category IV emerging technologies is studied from a system dynamics perspective. Through modeling and analysis on the HEV industry, a development strategy system for China's HEV industry is proposed. The case study shows that system modeling is a viable approach for emerging technology research. |
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| Keywords: | system dynamics emerging technology industrialization HEV |
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