| 港口供需匹配非均衡评价模型及实证 |
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| 引用本文： | 匡海波,余方平,谭志加,孟强,赵广田.港口供需匹配非均衡评价模型及实证[J].科研管理,2018,39(4):113-123. |
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| 作者姓名： | 匡海波 余方平 谭志加 孟强 赵广田 |
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| 作者单位： | 1大连海事大学综合交通运输协同创新中心，辽宁 大连116026；
2大连海事大学航运经济与管理学院，辽宁 大连116026；
3新加坡国立大学土木与环境工程系，新加坡117576；
4大连理工大学管理与经济学部，辽宁 大连116024 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金：自贸区港口生态圈演化、平衡及评价机制研究(71672016)；长江学者和创新团队发展计划资助：港口协同发展与绿色增长（IRT_17R13）。
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| 摘 要： | 港口供需匹配是港口科学发展最为关键问题。本研究在借鉴文献12]的基础上，进一步改进和优化港口供需匹配模型。本研究首先构建了较为合理的港口供需匹配评价指标体系，其次，借助非均衡分析理论框架，建立了港口供需匹配非均衡评价模型，最后，采集上海港2006－2013年数据进行分析，结果表明：上海港2006－2013年期间潜在供给小于潜在需求、处于严重或轻度供给不足状态，不过供给需求缺口逐年收窄。
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| 关 键 词： | 港口 供需匹配 非均衡框架 评价指标体系 缺口 |
| 收稿时间： | 2015-07-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018-01-10 |
The non-equilibrium evaluation model and empirical research of port supply-demand matching |
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| Kuang Haibo,Yu Fangping,Tan Zhijia,Meng Qiang,Zhao Guangtian.The non-equilibrium evaluation model and empirical research of port supply-demand matching[J].Science Research Management,2018,39(4):113-123. |
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| Authors: | Kuang Haibo Yu Fangping Tan Zhijia Meng Qiang Zhao Guangtian |
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| Institution: | 1. Collaborative Innovation Center for Transport Studies，Dalian Maritime University，Dalian 116026，Liaoning，China; ;
2. School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Liaoning, China; ;
3. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore City 117576, Singapore; ;
4. Faculty of Management and Economics，Dalian University of Technology，Dalian 116024，Liaoning, China |
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| Abstract: | Port matching supply and demand is the port key problem. This study further improved the literature 12] the port matching supply and demand model. Firstly, a scientific port matching supply and demand evaluation index system was constructed. Secondly, a improved port supply matching evaluation model was established with the help of the non－equilibrium theory of frame analysis. Finally, we did an empirical research on Shanghai port 2006-2013 years data. The results show that: the port of Shanghai 20062013 years of potential supply is less than the potential demand, in the a serious shortage of supply or mild condition, but the supply and demand gap has been gradually narrowing. |
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| Keywords: | port supply-demand matching non-equilibrium framework evaluation index system gap |
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