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农产品价格传导机制及其主要影响因素分析
引用本文:许世卫,李哲敏,孔繁涛,董晓霞,崔利国,任育锋.农产品价格传导机制及其主要影响因素分析[J].中国科技论坛,2012(9):71-76.
作者姓名:许世卫  李哲敏  孔繁涛  董晓霞  崔利国  任育锋
作者单位:1. 中国农业科学院农业信息研究所,北京,100081
2. 农业部智能化农业预警技术重点开放实验室,北京,100081
3. 中国农业科学院智能化农业预警技术与系统重点开放实验室,北京,100081
基金项目:"十二五"国家科技支撑计划重点项目,基本科研业务费专项(2012ZL017).农业部农业信息预警专项"农业信息分析与预警研究"项目;农业部"948"项目
摘    要:农产品价格波动及传导不仅仅关系到农业自身的发展、各环节主体的利益分配,更关系到全社会经济秩序的稳定。农业稳定事关大局,如何确保农产品价格传导的顺畅,稳定市场价格,更是农业政策制定者和宏观经济调控者的重要着眼点。本文针对农产品价格传导相关内涵、影响因素进行探讨,并在此基础上提出稳定市场价格的价格传导促进措施,为早期预测农产品价格,提早做出市场预警,维持市场健康发展提供思路。

关 键 词:农产品  价格传导机制  内涵  特点  影响因素

Agro-products Price Transmission and its Major Influencing Factors
Xu Shiwei , Li Zhemin , Kong Fantao , Dong Xiaoxia , Cui Liguo , Ren Yufeng.Agro-products Price Transmission and its Major Influencing Factors[J].Forum on Science and Technology in China,2012(9):71-76.
Authors:Xu Shiwei  Li Zhemin  Kong Fantao  Dong Xiaoxia  Cui Liguo  Ren Yufeng
Institution:(Agricultural Information Institute of CAAS,Beijing 100081,China,Key Lab of Intelligent Agricultural Early-Warning Technology and System of MOA,Beijing 100081,China,Key Lab of Intelligent Agricultural Early-Warning Technology and System of MOA of CAAS,Beijing 100081,China)
Abstract:Fluctuation and transmission in agro-product price is not only related to the development of agriculture,distribution of various stages’ benefits in the whole agricultural chain,also affects the stability of the socio-economic order.During the period of economic and social transition in China,agricultural stability is related to the overall situation.Decision-makers in agricultural policy and macroeconomic regulation and control focus on how to ensure the smooth agricultural prices transmission and stable market price.In view of relatively weak on theoretical research in agricultural price transmission,the meaning,major influencing factors,suggestions for the relevant government departments to stabilize the market price were carried out in this paper,in order to promptly discover and predict the probability fluctuations in agricultural prices,make the early warning,maintain the market’s healthy and orderly development.
Keywords:Agricultural product  Price transmission  Meaning  Features  Influencing factors
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