| 基于投入产出表的鲁粤苏及全国产业结构比较研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 蔡娜,周勇.基于投入产出表的鲁粤苏及全国产业结构比较研究[J].科学与管理,2016(6):36-49. |
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| 作者姓名： | 蔡娜 周勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 山东师范大学商学院,济南,250014;2. 山东师范大学商学院，济南250014; 山东省科技发展战略研究所，济南250014 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用山东与广东、江苏和全国的最新一次(2012年)投入产出表,从各产业感应度、影响度以及经济效益指标等多方面进行对比分析,重点研究山东省的产业结构特点和经济效益情况。山东省传统工业产业比重较大,产业间联系相对紧密,传统产业优势明显,但钢铁、有色金属、化工等高耗能、高污染排放产业比重大,产业结构层次较低,随着国家能源和碳排放总量控制以及大气污染治理越来越严格,传统产业增长潜力堪忧。山东省首先应该在传统产业的优化升级上下足功夫,更要在高新技术产业的发展方面加快步伐。山东省的第三产业结构水平整体较低,现代服务业发展缓慢,传统第三产业发展也不够充分。相对而言,第三产业的发展不受制于其他行业,可以加快发展。劳动力成本相对较低是山东省传统产业具有优势的重要条件,随着劳动力市场供求关系的改变,人口红利的消失,山东省传统产业的优势也面临很大挑战。
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| 关 键 词： | 投入产出模型 产业结构特征 |
A Comparative Study of the Industrial Structure in Shandong,Guangdong, Jiangsu and China:Based on 2012 Input-output Table |
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| Abstract: | Based on 2012 input-output data from Shandong , Guangdong, Jiangsu and China, we made a comparative analysis of industries from response coefficient,influence degree and economic benefit and other aspects,in order to focus on industrial structure characteristics and economic benefit situation in Shandong.Traditional industry proportion of Shandong is high,and each industries tied closely,so traditional industry has obvious advantages,but with too many high-energy-consuming and highpollution- discharge such as steel,nonferrous metal,chemistry industries makes industrial structure level remains low, with energy and carbon emissions control and air pollution treatment, traditional industries outlook is still gloomy.Optimize and upgrade traditional industries should be initial task and accelerate high and new technology industries.The level of third industry structure in Shandong is low,modern service develop is slow,and traditional third industry lack of expand.Relatively,the third industry could speed up development without limits.Labor costs cheap is an advantage in Shandong traditional industries,with the change of supply and demand market and the vanish of demographic dividend, traditional industries in Shandong still faces big challenge. |
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| Keywords: | Input-output model Industrial structure characteristics |
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