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实物期权在短生命周期产品供应链风险管理中的应用
引用本文:熊文.实物期权在短生命周期产品供应链风险管理中的应用[J].科技与管理,2009,11(2).
作者姓名:熊文
作者单位:上海理工大学,管理学院,上海,200093
摘    要:基于短生命周期产品供应链具有需求高度不确定性的特点,引入实物期权机制,研究如何利用实物期权对供应链风险进行管理.首先,求解分销商的最优订货政策、供销商的最优生产政策,给出最有期望利润的解析式;然后,说明期权如何对供应链双方进行协调,并通过数例分析得出期权的引入能够有效提高双方的效益,从而降低了供应链风险.

关 键 词:实物期权  风险管理  需求不确定  供应链协调

Application of real option in supply chain risk management with short-life-cycle products
XIONG Wen.Application of real option in supply chain risk management with short-life-cycle products[J].Science-Technology and Management,2009,11(2).
Authors:XIONG Wen
Institution:School of Business;University of Shanghai for Science and Technology;Shanghai 200093;China
Abstract:The Supply Chain based on short-life-cycle pruducts is characterized by high damand uncertainty. In this paper the real option mechanism is introduced,and then how to use the option to manage the supply chain risk is studied. First,optimal replenishment policies for the buyer,optmal production policies for the supplier,as well as close-form solutions for optimal expected profits are derived.Then,how the option coordinates the two parts in the suppy chain are shown,and according to the numerical analysis,the...
Keywords:real option  risk management  demand uncertainty  supply chain coordination  
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