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Evolutionary theorizing and modeling of sustainability transitions
Authors:Karolina Safarzyńska  Koen Frenken
Institution:a Institute for the Environment and Regional Development, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, Nordbergstrasse 15 (UZA4, 4B), A-1090 Vienna, Austria
b Eindhoven Centre for Innovation Studies, School of Innovation Sciences, Eindhoven University of Technology, P.O. Box 513, 5600 MB Eindhoven, The Netherlands
c ICREA, Barcelona, Spain
d Institute for Environmental Science and Technology, and Department of Economics and Economic History, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Edifici Cn - Campus UAB, 08193 Bellaterra, Spain
e Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, and Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, The Netherlands
f Fellow of Tinbergen Institute and NAKE, The Netherlands
Abstract:This paper argues that evolutionary thinking and modeling can contribute to the emerging research on sustainability transitions and their management. Evolutionary theory provides a range of concepts and mechanisms that are useful in making existing theorizing about transitions more precise and complete. In particular, we will discuss how the multi-level, multi-phase, co-evolutionary, and social learning dynamics underlying transitions can be addressed in evolutionary models. In addition, evolutionary theorizing offers suggestions for extending current theoretical frameworks of transitions. Group selection provides a good example. We review the small set of formal evolutionary models of sustainability transitions, and show that existing formal evolutionary models of technological, social and institutional change can provide useful inputs to transition research and management.
Keywords:Coevolution  Evolutionary economics  Group selection  Lock-in  Niche  Regime  Social learning  Transition  Transition management
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