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人民币汇率与股票价格波动溢出效应的MV-GARCH分析
引用本文:景海霞,寇明婷,史润玲.人民币汇率与股票价格波动溢出效应的MV-GARCH分析[J].雁北师范学院学报,2013(4):9-12.
作者姓名:景海霞  寇明婷  史润玲
作者单位:山西大同大学商学院,山西大同037009
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究项目[13YJC790062];山西大同大学博士科研启动项目[2012-B-29]
摘    要:基于二元VAR-BEKK-MVGARCH模型,以人民币兑美元汇率(RMB/USD)与上证综合指数每日收盘价为样本,分析了汇率制度改革后人民币汇率与A-股市场价格的波动溢出效应。我们的研究表明,汇率制度改革后,人民币兑美元汇率(RMB/USD)与中国A股市场股票价格指数之间的一阶价格溢出效应表现不明显,但存在显著的双向高阶波动溢出效应,且汇率市场对股票市场表现出更为强烈波动溢出效应。

关 键 词:人民币汇率  证券市场  波动溢出效应

The Study on the Volatility Spillover Effect between RMB Exchange Rate and Stock Price Based on the MV-GARCH Model
JING Hai-xia,KOU Ming-ting,SHI Run-ling.The Study on the Volatility Spillover Effect between RMB Exchange Rate and Stock Price Based on the MV-GARCH Model[J].Journal of Yanbei Teachers College,2013(4):9-12.
Authors:JING Hai-xia  KOU Ming-ting  SHI Run-ling
Institution:(School of Business,Shanxi Datong University,Datong Shanxi,037009)
Abstract:This paper investigates the impact of the spillover effect between RMB exchange rate and stock price after exchange rates reform in virtue of the VAR-BEKK-MVGARCH model.Our empirical analysis is based on the data from Shanghai A-share market and RMB exchange rates(RMB against US dollar RMB/USD).We have found that there are no price spillover effects between RMB exchange rate against US dollar and stock price,but a bi-directional volatility spillovers effect between RMB/USD and stock price,and the volatility spillover effect of RMB exchange rate to stock price is more significant than stock price to RMB exchange rate.
Keywords:RMB exchange rate  stock market  volatility spillover effect
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