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Poincare: Recommending Publication Venues via Treatment Effect Estimation
Institution:1. Kyoto University Japan;2. RIKEN AIP Japan;1. Department of Library and Information Science, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan;2. Center for Research in Econometric Theory and Applications, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan;1. Department of Statistics, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Cochin 682022, India;2. Department of Statistics, Government Arts College, Thiruvananthapuram 695014, India;1. Department of Economics and Management, University of Parma, Via J. Kennedy 6, Parma 43125, Italy;2. DiSFiPEQ, University of Chieti-Pescara, Viale Pindaro 42, Pescara 65127, Italy;3. metaLAB (at) Harvard, 42 Kirkland St, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA;4. Department of Economics and NeuroMI, University of Milano Bicocca, Piazza dell’Ateneo Nuovo 1, Milan 20126, Italy;1. School of Government, Beijing Normal University, No. 19, Xinjiekouwai Street, Haidian, Beijing, 100875, China;2. Department of Mechanical Engineering, National Taiwan University, Roosevelt Road, No. 1, Sec. 4, Taipei, 10617, Taiwan;3. Department of Library and Information Science, National Taiwan University, No. 1, Sec. 4, Roosevelt Road, Taipei, 10617, Taiwan;1. Department of Social and Political Sciences, University of Milan, Via Conservatorio 7, Milan, 20122, Italy;2. Department of Computer Science, University of Valencia, Avinguda de la Universitat s/n, Burjassot, 46100, Spain
Abstract:Choosing a publication venue for an academic paper is a crucial step in the research process. However, in many cases, decisions are based solely on the experience of researchers, which often leads to suboptimal results. Although there exist venue recommender systems for academic papers, they recommend venues where the paper is expected to be published. In this study, we aim to recommend publication venues from a different perspective. We estimate the number of citations a paper will receive if the paper is published in each venue and recommend the venue where the paper has the most potential impact. However, there are two challenges to this task. First, a paper is published in only one venue, and thus, we cannot observe the number of citations the paper would receive if the paper were published in another venue. Secondly, the contents of a paper and the publication venue are not statistically independent; that is, there exist selection biases in choosing publication venues. In this paper, we formulate the venue recommendation problem as a treatment effect estimation problem. We use a bias correction method to estimate the potential impact of choosing a publication venue effectively and to recommend venues based on the potential impact of papers in each venue. We highlight the effectiveness of our method using paper data from computer science conferences.
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