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On the citation lifecycle of papers with delayed recognition
Institution:1. École de bibliothéconomie et des sciences de l’information, Université de Montréal, CP 6128, Succ. Centre-Ville, Montréal, QC H3C 3J7, Canada;2. Observatoire des Sciences et des Technologies (OST), Centre Interuniversitaire de Recherche sur la Science et la Technologie (CIRST), Université du Québec à Montréal, CP 8888, Succ. Centre-Ville, Montréal, QC H3C 3P8, Canada;1. Departamento de Economía, Universidad Carlos III of Madrid, Spain;2. Centre for Science and Technology Studies, Leiden University, Netherlands;1. Division for Science and Innovation Studies, Administrative Headquarters of the Max Planck Society, Hofgartenstr. 8, 80539 Munich, Germany;2. Amsterdam School of Communication Research (ASCoR), University of Amsterdam, Kloveniersburgwal 48, 1012 CX Amsterdam, The Netherlands;3. Institute for Research Information and Quality Assurance (iFQ), Schützenstraße 6a, 10117 Berlin, Germany;4. Center for R&D Monitoring (ECOOM) and Department of Managerial Economics, Strategy and Innovation, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Waaistraat 6, 3000 Leuven, Belgium;1. Laboratory for Studies of Research and Technology Transfer, Institute for System Analysis and Computer Science (IASI-CNR), National Research Council of Italy, Italy;2. Italian National Agency for the Evaluation of Universities and Research Institutes (ANVUR), Italy;3. Department of Management and Engineering University of Rome “Tor Vergata”, Italy
Abstract:Delayed recognition is a concept applied to articles that receive very few to no citations for a certain period of time following publication, before becoming actively cited. To determine whether such a time spent in relative obscurity had an effect on subsequent citation patterns, we selected articles that received no citations before the passage of ten full years since publication, investigated the subsequent yearly citations received over a period of 37 years and compared them with the citations received by a group of papers without such a latency period. Our study finds that papers with delayed recognition do not exhibit the typical early peak, then slow decline in citations, but that the vast majority enter decline immediately after their first – and often only – citation. Middling papers’ citations remain stable over their lifetime, whereas the more highly cited papers, some of which fall into the “sleeping beauty” subtype, show non-stop growth in citations received. Finally, papers published in different disciplines exhibit similar behavior and did not differ significantly.
Keywords:Delayed recognition  Sleeping beauties  Citation lifecycle
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