| 我国MARC研究文献的发展趋势与预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张明伟,张弸.我国MARC研究文献的发展趋势与预测[J].图书情报工作,2006,50(1):49-50. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张明伟 张弸 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 哈尔滨哈尔滨医科大学图书馆 哈尔滨哈尔滨医科大学图书馆 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用《中文科技期刊全文数据库》(图书情报专辑)作为数据分析源，采用一元线性回归分析法研究我国MARC文献资源的发展规律和研究热点，指出我国MARC研究文献从1990—1994年为萌芽阶段，1995—1999年逐渐形成研究领域，2000—2004年进入研究高峰，未来5年仍将呈现持续增长趋势。
|
| 关 键 词： | MARC研究 文献资源建设 线性回归分析 科学预测 文献计量学 数学计量化 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-08-18 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-08-182005-09-26 |
Development Trends and Perspectives of MARC Research Literatures in China |
| |
| Zhang Mingwei,Zhang Peng.Development Trends and Perspectives of MARC Research Literatures in China[J].Library and Information Service,2006,50(1):49-50. |
| |
| Authors: | Zhang Mingwei Zhang Peng |
| |
| Institution: | Library of Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150086 |
| |
| Abstract: | Using CSJD-the Special Issue to Library and Information Science, this article analyzes the latest development, the hotspot and the characteristic of MARC literature resources in China with the one-dimensional linear regression analysis method, then it forecasts the development trends of the MARC in the next five years. On the basis of researches, it indicates that the development during 1990 - 1994 is in a germ phase, and its research domain was developed in the period of 1995 -1999, but the hotspot of this research has been reached in 2000 -2004. This paper shows that the research will present the trend in the following five years. |
| |
| Keywords: | MARC research literature resource construction linear regression analysis science forecasting bibliometrics mathematics quantification |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《图书情报工作》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《图书情报工作》下载免费的PDF全文 |
