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1.
《Journal of The Franklin Institute》2023,360(6):4114-4134
We propose a new approach to apply the chaining technique in conjunction with information-theoretic measures to bound the generalization error of machine learning algorithms. Different from the deterministic chaining approach based on hierarchical partitions of a metric space, previously proposed by Asadi et al., we propose a stochastic chaining approach, which replaces the hierarchical partitions with an abstracted Markovian model borrowed from successive refinement source coding. This approach has three benefits over deterministic chaining: (1) the metric space is not necessarily bounded, (2) facilitation of subsequent analysis to yield more explicit bound, and (3) further opportunity to optimize the bound by removing the geometric rigidity of the partitions. The proposed approach includes the traditional chaining as a special case, and can therefore also utilize any deterministic chaining construction. We illustrate these benefits using the problem of estimating Gaussian mean and that of phase retrieval. For the former, we derive a bound that provides an order-wise improvement over previous results, and for the latter we provide a stochastic chain that allows optimization over the chaining parameter. 相似文献
2.
The problem of designing robust systems for the detection of stochastic signals in noise is considered for the large-sample-size, small-signal case. By applying two previously-established models for the detection of stochastic signals, known results for the robust detection of deterministic signals are extended on a limited basis to the stochastic- signal case. The proposed detectors are seen to be robust over a class of possible noise statistics, based on a Huber-Tukey mixture model, which contains noises characterized by heavy-tailed probability density functions. In addition, numerical results are presented which verify the robustness property of the proposed detectors over wider classes of noise mixtures. 相似文献
3.
Incorporating the environmental perturbations and available resources of the public health system, we construct both deterministic and stochastic models of SIRS type. The deterministic model exhibits very rich dynamics, such as Hopf bifurcation and backward bifurcation which leads to the co-existence of the stable disease-free state and a stable endemic equilibrium. For the stochastic model, we show that under mild extra conditions, if the basic reproduction number is less than one, then the disease will be eradicated almost surely, and if the basic reproduction number is greater than one, the stochastic model will admit a unique ergodic stationary distribution, which implies that the disease persists almost surely. Part of our numerical simulations indicate that: (i) The introduction of environmental perturbations may drift the endemic equilibrium to the disease-free equilibrium, or vice versa; (ii) Increasing available resources is necessary in order to mitigate the infections. 相似文献
4.
缴费确定型企业年金最优投资策略研究 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
本文利用随机控制理论研究缴费确定型企业年金的最优投资策略，分别在固定缴费和随机缴费情形下，建立基于给付损失最小化的企业年金最优投资模型，通过求解HJB方程得到最优投资策略和给付水平的显式解,并对固定缴费时的最优策略进行蒙特卡洛仿真模拟. 相似文献
5.
Qun Liu Daqing Jiang Tasawar Hayat Ahmed Alsaedi 《Journal of The Franklin Institute》2018,355(13):5830-5865
In this paper, we study two stochastic multigroup S-DI-A epidemic models for the transmission of HIV. For the stochastic S-DI-A epidemic model with periodic coefficients, we first obtain sufficient conditions for persistence in the mean of the disease. Then in the case of persistence, we show that the model admits a positive T-periodic solution by using Khasminskii theory of periodic solution. Moreover, we establish sufficient conditions for exponential extinction of the infectious disease. For the stochastic S-DI-A epidemic model disturbed by both white and telegraph noises, we first establish sufficient conditions for persistence in the mean of the disease. Then in the case of persistence, we obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions by constructing a suitable stochastic Lyapunov function with regime switching and we also obtain sufficient conditions for exponential extinction of the system with regime switching. 相似文献
6.
In this paper, we investigate stochastic suppression and stabilization for a class of non-autonomous differential systems. Given a deterministic non-autonomous differential system, we introduce two independent Brownian motions and perturb this system into a new stochastic differential system. By using Lyapunov analysis method and some stochastic techniques, we show that a polynomial Brownian noise may guarantee the existence of global solution of the perturbed system while another linear Brownian noise may stabilize this system with general decay rate. An application of stochastic stabilization of differential system in the modeling of population growth is indicated. 相似文献
7.
Frederick E. Thau 《Journal of The Franklin Institute》1977,303(5):473-481
A decentralized stochastic control problem is solved for a linear system with two local controllers that exchange their control signals by transmission over noisy communication links. Each local controller contains a subsystem that approximately reconstructs the system state. A deterministic version of this problem is also considered. In each case expressions are presented for the performance of the controlled system. 相似文献
8.
《Journal of The Franklin Institute》2022,359(7):3024-3045
This paper presents two stochastic model predictive control methods for linear time-invariant systems subject to unbounded additive uncertainties. The new methods are developed by formulating the chance constraints into deterministic form, which are treated in analogy with robust constraints, by using the probabilistic reachable set. The first one is the time-varying tube-based stochastic model predictive control algorithm, which is designed by employing the time-varying probabilistic reachable sets as tubes. The second one is the constant tube-based stochastic model predictive control algorithm, which is developed by enforcing a constant tightened constraint in the entire prediction horizon. In addition, the soft constraints are proposed to associate with the state initialization in the algorithms to enhance the feasibility. The algorithm feasibility and closed-loop stability results are provided. The efficacy of the approaches is demonstrated by means of numerical simulations. 相似文献
9.
Qun Liu Daqing Jiang Tasawar Hayat Ahmed Alsaedi 《Journal of The Franklin Institute》2018,355(16):8177-8193
In this paper, we propose and study a stochastic predator–prey model with herd behavior. Firstly, by constructing a suitable stochastic Lyapunov function, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of an ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions to the model. Then we establish sufficient conditions for extinction of the predator population in two cases, that is, the first case is the prey population survival and the predator population extinction; the second case is all the prey and predator populations extinction. Finally, some examples together with numerical simulations are introduced to illustrate the theoretical results. 相似文献
10.
In this paper, a hybrid triple delayed prey predator bioeconomic system with prey refuge and Lévy jumps is established, where both maturation delay for prey and predator population and gestation delay for predator population are considered. For deterministic system, positivity and uniform permanence of solution are discussed. Local stability of deterministic system around interior equilibrium is investigated due to variations of triple time delays. For stochastic system without time delay, sufficient conditions for stochastically ultimate boundedness and stochastic permanence are discussed. Existence of stochastic Hopf bifurcation and stochastic stability are investigated. For stochastic system with triple time delays, existence and uniqueness of global positive solution are studied. Finally, combined dynamic effects of triple time delays and Lévy jumps on the hybrid stochastic system are discussed by constructing appropriate Lyapunov functions. Numerical simulations are supported to illustrate theoretical analysis. 相似文献
11.
This paper investigates convergence of iterative learning control for linear delay systems with deterministic and random impulses by virtute of the representation of solutions involving a concept of delayed exponential matrix. We address linear delay systems with deterministic impulses by designing a standard P-type learning law via rigorous mathematical analysis. Next, we extend to consider the tracking problem for delay systems with random impulses under randomly varying length circumstances by designing two modified learning laws. We present sufficient conditions for both deterministic and random impulse cases to guarantee the zero-error convergence of tracking error in the sense of Lebesgue-p norm and the expectation of Lebesgue-p norm of stochastic variable, respectively. Finally, numerical examples are given to verify the theoretical results. 相似文献
12.
《Journal of The Franklin Institute》2023,360(12):7770-7807
In this article, combining the transmission features of HPV infection and secondary cervical cancer in Xinjiang, China, a stochastic dynamical model for the HPV infection and secondary cervical cancer with environmental white noise is proposed. Firstly, the stochastic extinction of disease is investigated. A sufficient criterion for the asymptotic behavior of any positive solution of stochastic model revolving around the disease-free equilibrium of corresponding deterministic model is established. Secondly, a threshold criterion for the existence of unique ergodic stationary distribution is obtained by means of the auxiliary function. Furthermore, a new technique of partitioned matrix for the calculation of probability density function is proposed, the expression of a log-normal density function around the quasi-endemic equilibrium of stochastic model is calculated. Lastly, the best-fit parameter values in our model are identified by the MCMC algorithm on the basis of the cervical cancer data in Xinjiang province, China. The basic reproduction number is estimated as 1.3496 (95% CnI: (1.3458, 1.3716)). Then, to determine the key parameters of the model, the sensitivity analysis is explored. Some possible interventions and control measures are provided to reduce the HPV infection spread and cervical cancer in Xinjiang of China. 相似文献
13.
详细介绍了一个新的大样本集合预报系统. 为了减小ENSO(厄尔尼诺-南方涛动)预报中的预报不确定性,该集合预报系统首先基于一个中等复杂程度的耦合模式,利用集合卡尔曼滤波资料同化方法同化有效的海洋观测资料为集合预报系统提供集合初始场;同时,一个发展的用于12个月预报的一阶线性马尔可夫(Markov)随机误差模式被嵌套到集合预报系统中来模拟模式不确定性. 基于1992年11月~2008年10月100个样本的集合回报试验,从确定性预报技巧和概率预报技巧2个方面对集合预报系统的预报水平进行了检验. 该集合预报方法能够很有效地将传统的确定性预报扩展到概率预报领域,且检验结果表明,预报样本均值的预报水平要优于单一的确定性预报. 对于概率预报而言,集合预报样本能够很好地跟随观测的变化,并且能够提供单纯确定性预报所不能够提供的额外信息. 相似文献
14.
Kai Liu 《Journal of The Franklin Institute》2018,355(12):4839-4853
In this work, we consider an optimal control problem of a class of stochastic differential equations driven by additive noise with aftereffect appearing in control. We develop a semigroup theory of the driving deterministic neutral system and identify explicitly the adjoint operator of the corresponding infinitesimal generator. We formulate the time delay equation under consideration into an infinite dimensional stochastic control system without time lag by means of the adjoint theory established. Consequently, we can deal with the associated optimal control problem through the study of a Hamilton–Jacob–Bellman (HJB) equation. Last, we present an example whose optimal control can be explicitly determined to illustrate our theory. 相似文献
15.
We study the consensus control of discrete-time second-order multi-agents systems with time delays and multiplicative noises, where the consensus protocol is designed by both the local relative position measurements and each agent’s absolute velocity. Due to the existence of time delays and multiplicative noises, the classical methods for deterministic models with time delays cannot work. In this paper, we apply stochastic stability theorem of discrete-time stochastic delay equations to find some explicit sufficient conditions for both mean square and almost sure consensus. It is proven that for any given noise intensities and time delays, the second-order multi-agent consensus can be achieved by choosing appropriate control gains in the relative position measurement and absolute velocity, respectively. Numerical simulation is given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed protocols as well as the theoretical results. 相似文献
16.
17.
《Journal of The Franklin Institute》2023,360(10):6827-6845
Riccati differential equations are a class of first-order quadratic ordinary differential equations and have various applications in systems and control theory. In this study, we analyzed a switched Riccati differential equation driven by a Poisson-like stochastic signal. We specifically focused on computing the mean escape time of the switched Riccati differential equation. The contribution of this study is twofold. We first show that, under the assumption that the subsystems described as deterministic Riccati differential equations escape in finite time regardless of their initial state, the mean escape time of the switched Riccati differential equation admits a power series expression. To further expand the applicability of this result, we then present an approximate formula to compute the escape time of deterministic Riccati differential equations. Numerical simulations were performed to illustrate the obtained results. 相似文献
18.
In this paper, an integrated design of data-driven fault-tolerant tracking control is addressed relying on the Markov parameters sequence identification and adaptive dynamic programming techniques. For the unknown model systems, the sequence of Markov parameters together with the covariance of innovation signal is firstly estimated by least square method. After a transformation of value function from stochastic to deterministic, a policy iteration adaptive dynamic programming algorithm is then formulated to find the optimal tracking control law. In order to eliminate the influence of unpredicted faults, an active fault-tolerant supervisory control strategy is further constructed by synthesizing fault detection, isolation, estimation and compensation. All these involved designs are performed in the data-driven manner, and thus avoid the information requirement about system drift dynamics. From the perspective of system operation management, the above integrated control scheme provides a framework to achieve the tracking performance optimization, monitoring and maintaining simultaneously. The effectiveness of these conclusions is finally verified via two case studies. 相似文献
19.
S.G. Tzafestas 《Journal of The Franklin Institute》1978,305(4):199-220
This paper considers the problem of identifying the parameters of dynamic systems from input-output records. Both lumped-parameter and distributed-parameter systems, deterministic and stochastic, are studied. The approach adopted is that of expanding the system variables in Walsh series. The key point is an operational matrix P which relates the coefficient matrix Г of the Walsh series of a given function with the coefficient matrix of its first derivative. Using this operational matrix P one overcomes the necessity to use differentiated data, a fact that usually is avoided either by integration of the data or by using discrete-time models. Actually, the original differential input-output model is converted to a linear algebraic (or regression) model convenient for a direct (or a least squares) solution. A feature of the method is that it permits the identification of unknown initial conditions simultaneously with the parameter identification. The results are first derived for single-input single-output systems and then are extended to multi-input multi-output systems. The case of non-constant parameters is treated by assuming polynomial forms. Some results are also included concerning the identification of state-space and integral equation models. The theory is supported by two examples, which give an idea of how effective the method is expected to be in the real practice. 相似文献
20.
Qun Liu Daqing Jiang Tasawar Hayat Ahmed Alsaedi 《Journal of The Franklin Institute》2018,355(17):8891-8914
In this paper, we investigate the dynamical behavior of a stochastic dengue epidemic model. First of all, by constructing a suitable stochastic Lyapunov function, we obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions to the model. Then we establish sufficient conditions for extinction of the diseases. The existence of stationary distribution implies stochastic weak stability. 相似文献